Market Outlook (31/01/2008)

Hi Friends
A 50bps rate cut has not been able to encourage the investors to feel comfortable in the markets and DOW was down 37 points down 166 points from the days high.
I seriously beleive that this is the time to stay out of the markets and maximum in cash (by cash i mean.. cash in your bank accounts :-) )
Today we have the settlement, the FNO Expiry, and we can witness a lacklustre opening with a negative bias. Let us just wait for NIFTY to cross 5320 and trade above that before entering into any long positions.
As per my sources, 2-3 BIG FUNDS from USA are slated to start entering the Indian Markets from the second week of Feb. Till then we can see choppy trading.

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Kohinoor Broadcasting

Hi Friends
Kohinoor Broadcasting recom @ 10.70 on monday hits the buyers freeze with BUMPER VOLUMES yesterday. Its a long term multibagger and one should hold on to the investment and add small quantity on all declines (if any).
As far as the markets are concerned, the choppy session may continue for the week with some positive bias.
Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Market Oulook 29/01/2008

Hi Friends
Today RBI will announce its credit policy. Please have a look at the following link from CNN-IBN.. You will have a rough idea about the expectations. These are very rigid times, and the markets can move either ways depending on the announement made by RBI. Hence I was telling all to stay away. Lets wait for the Fed Meet scheduled in the coming days for a trend to emerge clearly.

http://www.ibnlive.com/news/rbi-to-announce-credit-policy-today--credit-policy-poll/57598-7.html

Regards
Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Kohinoor Broadcasting (BSE: 531366)

Hello Friends.

These are the few reasons why I consider KOHINOOR BROADCASTING to be a multibagger in future:-

The Consolidated Financial Results for the Q3FY08 (quarter ended 31st December, 2007) Vs Q3FY07:
Figures for corresponding last year

The Total Income: Rs.52.05 Cr (Rs.5.96 Cr)
PBDT: Rs.6.02 Cr (Rs.1.09 Cr)
Profit After Tax (PAT): Rs.5.46 Cr (Rs.76 lakhs)
Reserves and Surplus: Rs.17. 44 Cr (Rs.9.8 Cr)
EPS : Rs.6.21 (Rs.2.33)
For FY07, the results were:
Total Income; Rs.22.64 Cr
PBDT:Rs.4.16 Cr
Profit After Tax(PAT): Rs.1.33 Cr
EPS:Rs.2.22

Also,
1.The Company has received the equipment for Teleport to be set up at Rajpura involving a capital outlay of INR 50 Million.
2. The Company has placed the orders for play-out station to be set up at Rajpura involving a capital outlay of INR 100 Million.
3. The Company has started producing the buffer content for its forthcoming News and Entertainment Channel. The company is coming up with a Hindi News Channel Very soon
4. The Company is in the process of making large scale recruitments of manpower approx. 60 people for the production of content for its entertainment channel.
5. The Board has approved in-principal, the proposal of takeover of M/s Tagore Theatres Ltd (Valuing approximately INR 1000 Million), a multiplex, at a valuation to be conducted by the Company of international standing such as M/s Knight-Frank India Pvt Ltd, Chesterton Meghraj, Jones Lang Lasalle, Price water house Cooper or equivalent. The Board has authorized the committee of Directors to complete the transaction and to finalize the swap ratio for the proposed takeover.
6. The Board has approved the opening of subsidiary company in United Kingdom for Launch of TV channel in UK and adjoining areas.
7. Provision for retirement benefits has been estimated at Rs 0.250 million.
Also,
The company after the huge fall is trading well below its book value of Rs 15. We wont find any media companies trading below there book value now. And with the acquisition of a multiplex it has only one way to go... and that is UP. It is a LONG TERM MULTIBAGGER with so many positive things coming up for the company. With a 100 crore multiplex in the corner the script certainly does not deserves a price below its book value. My target for the company is in THREE FIGURES for LONG TERM and atleast Rs 30 in short term. (As of now the small/mid caps are underperforming and hence the script is also getting a beating.. But positive thing is that the stock is hitting on lower circuits on very very low volumes that means, that not many people are selling the stock, othwerwise there would be huge volumes in selling and it would have gone on selling circuit with very huge pending SELL ORDERS.. Thats not the case and hence the script can rise anytime (as soon as the midcap small cap carnage is over) and hence this script is BUY on all DECLINES and HOLD for atleast 3 months time (Short Term) and the LONG TERM TARGETS ARE HUGE.... (3 Figures as I said earlier).
Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Market Outlook (28/01/2008)

Hi Friends

As i told you all that these are times when one should stay away with the markets. Today a huge gap down opening.. (As of now 790 points down in the first 10 minutes of trade) giving up almost all the gains for friday. Consider those who have bought good positions on friday on a rise of 1100 points. All are in losses. Hence it is being time and again prooved that staying away from the markets until and unless a clear trend emerges (either upwards or downwards) we should hold on to whatever little positions we have been holding and just wait and watch.
There are few very announcements coming this week both globally and locally.. RBI Meet on CRR cut, Fed Meet for yet another rate cut and above all the F&O settlement for this month (which is very crucial).
I am not telling that we will go down from here. We might head upwards as well, but there is a lot of uncertainity at this point of time and hence I would recommend all the PLAY SAFE Investors to STAY AWAY 100% or at max BUY 25% of your cash.

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Caution Again..!!

Hi Friends

Sorry for not updating the blog for two days.
The reason for not updating was that there was not to much to write about. Because at the moment its very difficult to analyse the markets and I never believed in PREDICTING the stock markets. As I have already told you all to be in maximum cash at this point of time (till BUDGET) and dont buy in huge quantity also dont go for averaging (ie: dont buy the stock as you see that the stock price has gone down a lot and you start averaging at lower levels).
Our current holding (Compact Disc and Kohinoor Broadcasting also, BNK Capital and Madhav Marbles) are in deep red because the small cap and midcap index are heavily butchered and hence i recomended not to buy in Huge Qty. (u can check my previous messages). I ahve always maintained that we will use only 25% of our cash to BU till budget, and as soon as this MIDCAP carnage is over.. we will buy a similar quantity at lower levels , but for that to happen we might have to hold on for the time being.
The markets are now taking there on ques diregarding all the Asian and foreign markets for the time being. (Nothin New.. when were rising we never took any negative ques of our peers and the foreign markets, now we wont take the positive ques as well.)
Hence I again repeat what I have been telling you for a long time now.. That CAUTION IS THE BUZZ... Dont take excessive position in any stocks and stay maximum in cash till BUDGET.

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Market Outlook 22/01/2008

Hi Friends
AS EXPECTED the markets finally Falled, and created a mayhem in dalal street. READ MY ARTICLE ON 28th Dec 2007 from then I HAVE BEEN CAUTIONING ALL TO REMAIN 75-80% IN CASH TILL THE BUDGET..
According to me the fall is not over yet and we could retest todays lows once again, however the markets looks goood for one week from thursday so people can start buying from wednesday (late hours). The next two days can be highly voltile and we might also stage a pull back rally.. but do remember history says that pull back rallies are never there for long. I am expecting some weakness to continue for tuesday and wednesday.. and it looks good for a weak after that. But till the budget i will advice all the short term investors to stay away..
LOOK AT OUR NIFTY 6150 PUT call... call given @ 125.. it made a high of 850. from 125 to 850.. YOOOOO
Book out the NIFTY PUTS if anybody is still holding it.
Thats the reason I repeatedly asked all to BUY in very small quantity (the delivery stocks are all intact... just dont average out now.. we can buy some qty from wednesday for short term--- BNK capital, Kohinoor Broadcasting, Madhav Marbles and CESC..Also compact Disc)....

I got so many messages and emails from my friends thanking me for making them EXIT the long positions.. and I am so happy that i saved so many from being butchered.
Hope all the boarders here paid heed to my advice.. and should have been sitting happily today when most of the investors almost got were horrified.

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Market Outlook (21/01/2008)

Hi Friends
I would recommend all to stay away from the market as of now. Market can move either ways in the days to come.
Just hold on to some of the stocks that have been recomended. Compact Disc, BNK Capital, Kohinoor Broadcasting and Madhav Marbles.
Have an eye on CESC. The co is supposedly in talks to list its group company Spencers Retail in the markets as well as the Citigroup is buying in the counter.
Our Long ter target for the stock is 1400++ in Dec 2008.

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Market Review for the week

Hi Friends..
OUR LOTTERY TICKET TURNED OUT TO BE A REAL JACKPOT FOR US. Nifty 6150 PUT recomended @ 125 closed today @ 475 giving us 4 times returns in a span of 1 week. I advice people to BOOK OUT with 4 time profits. As expected markets tanked down and could not take support of 5830 and closed around 5700 on a very weak note. We might see a pullback rally in the coming week on some good numbers expected from IndiaInc and some good announcements on the foregin front. Based on the fundamentals we can tank more and if true valuations are to be bought into exostence then it has to touch 5200-5250 but that is the worst cast scenario and I dont think we will tank that much howvever 5550 looks like a possiblilty. COMPACT DISC was in upper freeze the entire day but in the last hour sell off it closed down 4% and kohinoor broadcasting also closed down around 4%. There is not to worry much about it because we have already earned around 16k in our Nifty PUT even if somebody had bought 1 single lot. And we are amply sitting in cash to buy shares like BNK capital, kohinoor broadcasting, Zee Tele, and some others. Thats the reason i asked all to buy in very small quantity. So guys.. Have a nice weekend... Hope you all enjoyed my calls..

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Market Outlook 18/01/2008

Hi Friends
Compact Disc hits yet another upper freeze.. Recomended to all @ 103 now 125. More to come. Kohinoor Broadcasting is a good buy. Repeatedly telling all to BUY in small quantity. Markets ended on a weak note and I think we should now stop thinking too much about the markets because we have been telling you all to stay away from the markets for some time and be in max cash. OUR 6150 PUT is doing wonders and as the markets may fall some more due to global weakness we can expect a price of 400 on the Hedge position... As of now I wont give too many investment advice Just concentrate on two stocks as of now. Compact Disc which is already giving us 20% in a weeks time and Kohinoor Broadcasting... it can start moving once the markets finds a trend.

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Market Outlook 17/01/2008

Hi Friends.
As expected we opened gap down and were almost swiped away by the bear flow before some short covering took place. We have been telling you to be in cash from the 1st week of January and I hope all those people who had long positions would have understood why I was telling so... markets have taken a beating in the last 2 days and the longs would have meant huge losses. OUR NIFTY 6150 PUT (Hedging call) was given @ 125 last week.. made a high of 362 today. It had almost tripled.. What else do u want in a week that too on a Hedged Position??... It was a BUMPER call.. Kohinoor Broadcasting hit the upper freeze again before cooling down a bit in the late trading. Compact Disc hits another upper freeze. BNK Capital and Kohinoor Broadcasting are stocks to watch out for in the coming days. ALthough I still maintain that dont buy in huge qty and dont invest more then 50% of ur capital till budget. Markets are expected to remain highly volatile, we might see some recovery for a day or two but overall I feel some more pain is left in the markets and this can continue till the RPOWER is listed. You can see how the RPACKS are controlling the markets right now, till the RPOWER IPO was oversubscribed the market was for bulls, suddenly after the oversubscription the markets started tanking and it tanked below 5860 support level today but recovered later. We might see another round off sell off in the coming days... So we can be moderately be cautious.

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Market Outlook 16/01/2008

Hi Friends....
Almost all our recomendations were on fire today itself...COMPACT Disc hits the upper freeze.. BNK Capital was trading very well throughout the day.. and made a high of 108.. Stock is to be watched out... short term tgt is 180++. Madhav Marbles remained steady.... after an initial jump.. Kohinoor Broadcasting hits the upper freeze before cooling down in the last hour selloff witnessed by the markets...
All others are good hold for short term.. as i had said before invest with stop loss because the markets can change directions anytime....WE HAD RECOMMENDED A HEDGING POSITION of NIFTY 6150 PUT @ 125-135.. today it closed @ 215.... More can come... Citigroup came out with worst pair of results since its inception... Dow is down more then 200 points when I am writing this article.. Expect a gap down in our markets as well...I have been cautioning everybody about the fall from the past 15 days.. Its always good to invest only a part of your capital in volatile markets.
Kohinoor Broadcasting has approved the acquisition of Tagore Theaters Ltd which is valued around 100 crores. So u can buy in small quantity on all declines and keep holding for handsome returns in 3 months time. Due to Volatile and weak market conditions wont give any other pick today.. Do track all the open investments ideas.. and watchout Nifty for your 6150 Put. If Nifty breaks 6000 then there are chances of it seeing 5850-5890 in that case our NIFTY 6150 PUT price can triple... So enjoy and hope for a FALL>>>>>>>>

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI
contact- nishantlakkar@gmail.com with subject Query/suggestion/feedback

Market Outlook 15/01/2007

As expected the market was highly volatile and the mid/small cap stocks started showing signs of buying. Today I would recommend a few stocks which are looking good to me for short term. (Buy according to your personal risk taking capacity).
1) Zee Telefilms- looks all set to give 30-40 rs in very short term. Very good results are expected on 23rd
2) Kohinoor Broadcast Corporation (BSE: 531366) CMP 15.60. tgt is 30Rs in 90 days time frame.
**Kohinoor Broadcasting Corporation Ltd has informed BSE that the Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held on October 12, 2007, inter alia, has taken the following decisions:
1. The Board has approved the Placing Agreement, Deposit Agreement
and the Escrow Account Agreement in respect of the GDR issue.
2. The Board has approved the offering circular filed at Luxembourg
Stock Exchanges.
3. The board has approved the allotment of 75,000,000 equity shares
of Rs 10 with underlying 7,500,000 GDR's issued in the name of
Depository (Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas) and issuance of
Share certificate thereof.
**Kohinoor Broadcasting Corporation Ltd has informed BSE that the
Board of Directors of the Company at its meeting held on January 07,
2008, has taken the following decisions:
1. The Board has approved in-principal, the proposal of takeover of
M/s. Tagore Theatres Ltd (Valuing approximately INR 1000 Million), a
multiplex, at a valuation to be conducted by the Company of
international standing such as M/s. Knight-Frank India Pvt Ltd,
Chesterton Meghraj, Jones Lang Lasalle, Price water house Cooper or
equivalent. The Board has authorized the committee of Directors to
complete the transaction and to finalize the swap ratio for the
proposed takeover.
2. The Board has approved the opening of subsidiary Company in
United Kingdom for Launch of TV channel in UK and adjoining areas.
3. The Board has taken note of the receipt of the equipment for
Teleport to be set up at Rajpura involving a capital outlay of INR
50 Million.
4. The Board took note of the orders placed for play-out station to
be set up at Rajpura involving a capital outlay of INR 100 Million.
5. The Board took note of the progress of production of the buffer
content for its forthcoming News and Entertainment Channel.
This stock is one of the multibaggers in the making, however due to the pressure in the small caps it has been on lower circuits for the past 3 days. We can se another 2-3 lower circuits (5%)in this stock which by any means is a good chance to buy. But the targets are intact. So dont rush and BUY this stock, wait for it to get out of the lower circuit syndrome, and the day it does, just BUY.
3) Elgi Equipments (BSE: 522074)- CMP 79 tgt Rs 100 in short term (30 days maximum)
4) Bihar Caustic and Chemicals (BSE: 500057) -CMP Rs 88.30 Tgt 135++
TIME FRAME 90 Days maximum (Its a caustic soda demand supply story- same as Indo Borax which was recommended 2 months before)
Market Cap : Rs 200 cr Industry : Chemicals
TTM EPS : Rs 17 P/E Ratio : 4.9x
Pmt Stake : 56 % Dividend : 15 %
52W H/L : Rs 105/42 Book Value : Rs 63
5) Madhav Marbles and Granites (BSE: 515093)- CMP 93.75 (HIGH TO VERY HIGH RISKY CALL.. Its an operator driven stock and some news is coming from the operators that the stock can hit the 125 mark very soon. If anyone wants to buy, BUY with a STRICT STOP LOSS OF 85, PLAY SAFE INVESTORS PLEASE AVOID TRADING OR INVESTING IN THIS STOCK)

My previous recommendations like BNK CAPITAL, INDO Borax, are at buying levels right now. Those who had booked profits earlier can reenter with a 90day or long term view.
Please do not buy in very high qty because of the market volatility. Normally i dont give any stop loss for my investment advice becuase whatever the market codition is, almost 95% the targets are achived within 90 days. However at this point of time I would advice investors to keep stop loss according to their risk bearing appetite. Anybody who has a short tem view please keep the stop loss.
Compact Disc is moving in the same zone when recommended 2 days back. Its a good HOLD with a stop loss of 88 for the very short term investors. Tgt is intact 200++
Do remember, all my calls are DELIVERY (Investment Ideas for a maximum of 90 day period, the calls are not meant for intraday trading. However they have never taken 90 days to achieve the targets but still we will follow the 90 day rule)so please trade accordingly.

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI
contact @ nishantlakkar@gmail.com

Market Outlook (14/01/2008)

Hi Friends
The markets are neglecting all the weak cues and moving very volatile. The volatility is expected to continue for this week as well and would suggest investors to avoid day trading and swing trading for some time and wait for the right time to enter the markets. As far as the mid cap/small caps are concerned I beleive that the profit booking phase in some of the counters should be over and we can enter some good quality stocks in the days to come. I have a list of stocks which I feel would be multibaggers in days to come and we have a great opportunity to take them into our portfolio in this profit booking phase. I wont recommned those stocks right now because of the huge volatility the stocks like all other mid cap and small caps could well go for a lower circuit due to profit booking and a fear amidst investors about a BIG FALL in the markets. As of now all our recommendations have been SUPER HIT and all were Investment Calls. The call given on COMPACT DISC last week remains a BUY at every decline ( AS I HAD ALREADY MENTIONED IN THE BLOG THAT PLEASE BUY IN SMALL QTY DUE TO VOLATILE MARKET CONDITION). I got many queries regarding the stock and hence I am refraining my self from giving some other Investment based ideas for the time being because there are very high possibilities that the stock might go down for the coming few days because of the mid cap and small cap index lossing some steam due to profit booking. hencforth I advice everybody not to indulge into fresh buying at this point of time. I have in my mind a few stocks which I feel can start moving up in a very short period from now but would wait for some time for the market to stablize and then recommend it to all here.
This was the week where apart from the BANKEX all other sectorial indices lost by more then 2% BUT STILL the sensex closed 140 points above the previous weeks close of 20686.89. Almost all the world indices were down more then 2% but Sensex was up by 0.67% for the week ended. This confirms that there are few stocks which are moving the index right now (R-PACKS basically) and they are even when the world indices are closing in red we are able to recover. These are few things which worries me as an analyst as well as an investor. The Nifty might make new highs again on the built in euphoria about the DEVELOPING MARKETS, ECONOMIC POWERHOUSE etc etc but still we would advice a CAUTIOS approach and PLAY SAFE.
According to me nobody is really paying any attention towards business fundamentals, valuations (which I feel are over streched) and looking TOO FAR ahead projecting income estimates of FY09-FY10 and even FY 2011. I see companies trading at 70-80 times there forward earnings which I am not comfortable with and feel that these projections of forward earning estimates would come down heavily when the markets realise this and that day we could be taken for surprise ride.
MARK MY WORDS-- THE MID CAP/SMALL CAP STOCKS WHICH HAS TAKEN A BEATING IN THE LAST WEEK WOULD SOON SEE RECOVERY AND WE WILL GIVE YOU SOME STOCKS FOR DELIVERY IN THAT PERIOD. (AS OF NOW WE WOULD AVOID BECAUSE IF THE STOCK GOES DOWN FOR A DAY OR TWO SMALL INVESTORS DO GET JITTERY AND START PANICING)
HAVE AN EYE ON RELIANCE INDUSTRIES... RESULTS COMING SOON...
TODAY (14/08/2007) THE MARKETS WILL OPEN WITH A NEGATIVE GAP AND WE WILL SEE SOME BUYING COMING AT LOWER LEVEL--

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Market Outlook (11th Jan 2008)

Hi Friends
As we have been cautioning you from the past 10 days now, the wait finally paid some dividends. I specifically mentioned last week to be cautious particularly in the last 2 days of this week.. and here it comes.. I still believe more is to come and slower it comes the better...The markets ended deep in red after an extremely volatile session. The opening was strong but by the end of the day Sensex was down nearly 600 points from the day's high. Nifty was down nearly 200 points from the day's high. Our call to buy NIFTY 6150 PUT @ 145 was trading arnd 189 at the end. COMPAC INDIA recomended early morning started its buying freeze from today itself. The company has a lot of postive announcements coming backed by strong quarterly numbers. Keep adding the stock 150++ in very short term Long term tgt 250++.
Coming back to the markets, Infosys will rule the markets tomm and its very difficult to predict the markets on a day like this. We are sitting in cash and at the moment would advice boarders to invest 5-10% of their capital in COMPAC India.. for very good returns in short term.
Few other mid cap stocks which are looking good to me at this point of time are ELGI Equipments and Mazda. Keep a watch on these stocks. I would recommend that do not go ahead and invest full fledged in this market... at any cost not more then 25% of ur capital should be invested.

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

DELIVERY PICK- COMPACT DISC India Ltd.

COMPACT DISC India Ltd.BSE CODE - 526141 (10/- Face Value) CMP - 104 TARGET 250++.
Buy in small quantity as of now because of the market fluctuations.
The company reported quarterly sales of Rs. 30.11 crores and net profit of Rs. 6.03 crores. On an equity capital of Rs.9.57 crores, the quarterly EPS is Rs. 6.29 (Rs.25.16 annualised). The NPM has been maintained at 20%. The company is into production of animation films, game development and motion pictures. The product range covers all the segments of entertainment i.e. big screen (theatres), small screen (home videos & television) and personal screen (personal computers).
Animation Outsourcing is the buzz of the day... The company has also 1. Considered and approved to issue convertible warrants on preferential / open offer basis to the promoters and select group of companies owned by the promoters. 2. Considered and approved to issue equity shares and convertible warrants on preferential / open offer basis to Samara Capital Partners Fund I Ltd. a Mauritius based fund.The full report on the company i will publish later.... Till then we can buy...

Market Outlook (10/01/2008)

Hi Friends
As I have been telling you for the past few days now, I think the remaining 2 days will be the decider. I think we should not be buying anything in the coming 3-5 days...Wont type much here... because I have already expressed my bearish views so many times. The 2 remaining days are to watch out for..... I have come up with a investment pick which I would not share at this moment. Let the market settle down a bit in the mean time if i feel that the pick can be accumulated even in this market I would post the views on the same. BE CAUTIOUS>>>>>>>

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Market Review

Hi friends
The markets are not taking any global cues at the moment and are standing on their own. Amidst very high volatility the markets finally closed almost flat (Sensex down 3.55 points and Nifty down 15 points). There is profit booking at higher levels and buying is witnessed at lower levels. Traders are being trapped from both sides because stop loss is being hit for both the longs and the shorts due to higher volatility. As we have already adviced caution to all the boarders from the past 10 days now and would like them to do the same for the remainder of the week. We are totally bearish in the markets and we continue to back our stand of staying away from the time being. The markets are mainly run by the Relaince Pack-- ADAG vs Mukesh, market is enjoying at the moment but my view is that its not going to sustain for long and any bad news from political front and the longs will be butchered.

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Market Outlook 09/01/2008

Hi Friends
As I have been cautioning you all from the past 10 days now, and have been telling that a fall is inevitable, yesterday dow closed below its supports level and was 238 points down due to housing woes and AT&T. We are expected to open gap down again today but we have to watch out wheather we are able to recover today as well or not. If u check my previous blogs i have been mentioning it time and again that this week we might see a fall in this week wed/thur/friday... I expect the 2nd half to be a bit more watchfull because the FIIs activity will start after 12:30.
Its always good to be in cash in a market scenario like this and we are happy that we are in cash (and have been advising the same as well).
Let this week pass out.. We have already taken a NIFTY 6150 PUT.. if the market falls then it would do wonders.. REMEM LOTTERY TICKET??????...

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Market Outlook 08/01/2008

Hi Friends
Yesterday our markets shown the strength , though the US markets are literally sold off on friday and the Asian markets were down on monday we stood out and shown the world our strength, FIIs are net sellers yesterday , but domestic funds are in buying side. This is still a cause of concern because history says that whenever there is higher participation from the retail investors the markets surprises them. Although the fall is inevitable as i have been telling but there seems to be enough retail participation in the markets backed by the domestic institutions that is pulling our markets up. Hence we might climb to newer highs before heading down. Our markets can make new highs today and can continue upwards, but do remem that markets have the habbit of surprising investors, (When all the brokerages were caution last week and asked their clients to sell we went upwards, this week the mood has suddenly changed and all brokerage houses are recommending BUY.. so CAUTION again is the buzzword) Fed Chairman is coming up with a statement on thursday regarding the Fed Rate cut, which will give a cue wheather there will be any further cut in the interest rates to stable the crunch in US markets after the subprime setback. There are also few data announcements on the cards in US which will also give us an indication where our markets are heading.
As of now, keep a close watch on remainder of the week and since I recieved a lot of messages from some impatient boarders out here that we are not trading/investing anything for the past 2 weeks.. So i thought that since we have already hedged our position with a NIFTY 6150 PUT (LOTTERY TICKET), we will go cautious and trade very lightly with a very short term perspective, if we earn good profits intraday then also we will book out because we never know, THE BEARS CAN KNOCK OUR DOORS ANYTIME...
FOR TODAY WATCHOUT SIEMENS ABOVE 2026, LOKESH MACHINE CMP 159, ICICI BANK CMP 1364 and another stock which I feel can rock if the markets are positive is BILPOWER cmp 352. PLEASE KEEP BOOKING PROFITS IF YOU GET DECENT RETURNS AND TRADE WITH STRICT STOP LOSS and TRADE ONLY IF THE MARKETS ARE POSITIVE.
Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Market Outlook (7th Jan, 2008)

Hi Friends
As advised earlier, caution is the order of the day. We would open gap down on back of weak global cues (bad payroll data in US). Our long term pick KSERA SERA is already doing wonders giving more then 50% returns in just a months time. At this point of time I would not advice any fresh trade but for all those who are in good profits and are willing to buy a lottery ticket of Rs 7500 (means either it will double or u loose). I would prefer them to buy a NIFTY 6150 PUT @ arnd 150-155 or below... there is no target for this call because the price can go anywhere if the market falls heavily (which i am expecting). I am expecting a fall of atleast 1000 points in this week (probably arnd thursday/friday)due to various reasons:- 1) Weak Global cues 2)considerable amount of shorts build up particularly in the last 2 days of trade 3) Nifty Futures have been trading in discount for almost the entire month sending weak signals 4)backed by some sources in mumbai who have booked profits on friday for themselves as well as their clients. 4)The expectation of a fall is there from the past one week.. (it is not sumthing new or sudden which has come to my mind)..
Hence for all these reasons and some other which cannot be deliberated here I am 80-85% sure of the above statement and henceforth I gave a NIFTY 6150 PUT BUY CALL to all those who are in considerable amount of profits... (treat it like a lottery)

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAI DADI KI

Queries/Feedback/Suggestions

Hi Friends.
Please feel free to contact me on nishantlakkar@gmail.com for any queries/feedback/suggestions that u might have. Keep the subject as query/feedback/suggestions as appropriate for my convinience.

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAI DADI KI

Reliance Power IPO-- Few Important Points

Anil ambani - chairman of Reliance Power spoke to media about the future plans of this Company
Some of the main points he highlighted are :

1. Rs 20 discount to retail investors .
2. 30 % of issue reserved for small investors
3. No pre ipo placement .
4. First plant to start generation from 2009 onwards
5. Venturing into windpower in karnataka for 250 MW
6. Plans to enter Nuclear power in future , already have 100 engineeres for that venture.
7. Anil ambani refused comments on dispute with RIL on Gas pricing issue
8. Anil amabani is much bullish about rel power and rel energy as a whole
9. Power equipment manufacturing thru a new company independent of Rel energy and r-power ( its a bit -ive news for rel energy shareholders )
10 . R-power plans to have assets of 28000 MW in future .

KSERA SERA

Hi Friends
Our long term pick KSERA SERA initially recomended @ 30 and then again recomended @ 38 is on continous upper freeze. Right now upper freeze @49.80. Even if somebody bought @ 38 still we are gaining around 33% in 10 days... long term targets are intact @ THREE FIGURES.....
As far as the markets are concerned.. I maintain my stand of correction.. the fall is inevitable.. it might be delayed (possibly due to the Relaince Power IPO) but it cannot be avoided.. Once again I say.. hold very light positions..
Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAI DADI KI

Market Outlook (03/01/2008)

Hi Friends
Dow is down over 165 points whn i am writing this and as I have been warning everyone since the past 1 week.. today it showed that some weakness is prevailing and the fall is nearby.. it can be extended for a few days but its certainly not gone....The recovery today was seen due to short covering and since almost all the brokerages came out with a SELL and CAUTION call today... the market recovered..Markets are not the puppets of anybody.. they are certainly not going to dance to the tunes of the brokerage firms reports and analyst views.. it has never done so nor it will do in future. The market moves up & down surprising atleast more then 75% of investors/traders, but today almost everybody in the stock markets came up with a sell/caution call hence the market reacted the other way and recovered... Henceforth i see that immediately we might not fall as big as it is expected.. but it would be by surprise.. I am getting some news that FIIs will be selling in bulk from the next week (wednesday onwards).. may be till then we can see few points up/down or may be new highs.... BUT MY ADVICE WOULD STILL BE THE SAME>>> CAUTION CAUTION...
Our long term call on KSERA SERA is continously hitting upper circuits even in this market.. Njoy...
Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAIDADIKI

Markets Today

Hi Friends
As said earlier.. we would prefer sitting in cash rather then investing or trading in this sort of market. Today the sensex falls 250+ points and now recovering... This recovery might be due to some short covering.. But I am still bearish.. We should wait for some more time in order to make fresh buys.
In the mean time if I find anything to buy at currect levels..will inform u all.
Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAI DADI KI

Cooling Off Period...

Hi Friends...
A very very happy new year to all the readers..
This is the cooling off period for all of us (The Investors).. and we will just sit with cash and wait for the right time to enter the markets.

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAI DADI KI

Happy New Year 2008!!!!!..

A very happy and prosperous new year to all the readers. The sensex gave 47% returns in the year 2007.. May we get the same in 2008..... God Bless All...

HAPPY NEW YEAR 2008---NJOYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYYY

Happy Investing
Investomaniac
JAI DADI KI